Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 14.249190 16.639789 19.245702 22.289137 25.737460 29.514555 33.955880
2025-04-06 9.904467 13.080709 16.908440 21.820734 27.913063 35.173264 44.427407
2025-04-13 7.117204 10.417978 14.737613 20.714938 28.667996 38.771221 52.442531
2025-04-20 6.015544 9.568257 14.532973 21.817977 32.044525 45.671882 64.940360
2025-04-27 5.299303 9.061657 14.624766 23.202647 35.792301 53.237743 78.796098
2025-05-04 4.521069 8.287726 14.164157 23.654959 38.167604 59.005673 90.524346
2025-05-11 3.792496 7.440894 13.435577 23.553776 39.632683 63.493338 100.656293
2025-05-18 3.149188 6.607636 12.585311 23.112275 40.463592 67.022252 109.530102
2025-05-25 2.632201 5.896569 11.821211 22.684680 41.216256 70.409767 118.322889
2025-06-01 2.205411 5.270251 11.104401 22.226125 41.828566 73.558034 126.869822
2025-06-08 1.768037 4.530481 10.063670 21.052712 41.091588 74.447060 131.852090
2025-06-15 1.626035 4.391228 10.143888 21.918210 43.927303 81.308706 146.758177
2025-06-22 1.484543 4.246814 10.235003 22.894774 47.191356 89.347382 164.502463
2025-06-29 1.225253 3.770950 9.582389 22.371631 47.723540 92.866200 175.121792
2025-07-06 0.967359 3.227972 8.687986 21.233826 46.972770 94.072588 181.873419
2025-07-13 0.898481 3.170126 8.871745 22.358906 50.669787 103.418567 203.232578
2025-07-20 0.852201 3.164897 9.176073 23.772590 55.045616 114.254399 227.784867
2025-07-27 0.759238 2.997112 9.058662 24.234363 57.528358 121.736759 246.734698
2025-08-03 0.652541 2.755487 8.713710 24.131041 58.823897 127.053783 262.025696
2025-08-10 0.547902 2.486889 8.248455 23.680239 59.330032 130.869038 274.725153
2025-08-17 0.460198 2.247043 7.814840 23.243613 59.812828 134.644711 287.519007
2025-08-24 0.385219 2.026753 7.392811 22.775349 60.170584 138.172893 299.998887
2025-08-31 0.303107 1.743419 6.724572 21.576956 58.750340 138.003154 305.323141